Earnings call jargon
Guidance, margins, EPS beats and the rest, so you can follow an earnings call or the headlines about one.
Listen with headphones. When it asks a question, answer out loud before it tells you.
Key facts · Part 1 Essentials
- Call structure: operator, investor relations, C.E.O., C.F.O., then Q and A. The real information is in the Q and A and the tone.
- Revenue: the top line. Watch growth year over year.
- E.P.S.: earnings per share, the bottom line per share. Diluted E.P.S. is the standard figure.
- Beats and misses: measured against consensus. A beat is expected, so expectations matter more than the result.
- Guidance: management's forecast. Raising, reaffirming, lowering, or withdrawing. It often moves the stock most.
- Margins: profit as a percentage of revenue. Expansion is up, compression is down, measured in basis points.
- Non-GAAP: adjusted numbers that leave things out. Usually flattering, so check the reconciliation.
- Analyst questions: sell-side analysts, one question and a follow-up. 'Help us understand' usually means something looks off.
Key facts · Part 2 Deeper
- Free cash flow: operating cash flow minus capex, the cash left after investing. Capex is a big theme in A.I. and data centers.
- Comps: sales at stores open a year or more. An easy comp makes growth look better, a tough comp the reverse.
- Priced in: expectations are already in the share price. The after-hours move often reverses during the call.
- Industry K.P.I.s: each industry has its own scoreboard. Learn the two or three your company stresses.
- Quality of earnings: is the profit real and repeatable? Watch one-time gains, pulled-forward revenue, and metrics that vanish.
- Storylines need a why, a watch item, and a what-would-change-it. Beat and raise, beat and guide down, costly growth, adjusted versus standard, and the dodged first question.
Key facts · Part 3 Drill
- The real information is in the Q and A and the tone.
- A beat against consensus is expected, so judge the guidance: raising or lowering?
- Watch the direction of margins. Revenue up with margins down is a warning.
- Adjusted numbers flatter. Look for what was left out, and check the reconciliation.
- Help us understand means this looks off, and a dodged answer is a signal.
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